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INDUSTRY
- July 2000 by Dr. Arlie Hall Getting Out of
Line with Lean WHY do people resist beneficial change? Anyone engaged in the lean manufacturing transformation will ask that question more than once. There are some obvious answers - wariness, politics, lack of imagination, sheer mulishness but Peter Senge, a brilliant analyst of organizations, has a more subtle and useful one. New insights are rejected, he says, "because they conflict with deeply held internal images of how the world works, images that limit us to familiar ways of thinking and acting" (The Fifth Discipline). Senges interesting point is that the new insight might be rejected even when the familiar ways arent very effective. All they have to be is familiar. Think back to your last trip to the mall or the grocery store. Was there a line at the register? Of course. There always is. But why are there lines in the first place? Essentially, its because of randomness. The store doesnt know exactly when you are coming or when you are going to finish your shopping. They have a rough idea of how many people shop on which days at which hours, of course. But only a rough idea. They dont know exactly when or how long it will take or which line you will choose or how many items you will buy. For them, you are a random event. Back in 1905 a Danish telephone engineer named A. K. Erlang studied the predictability of such things. Eventually, he invented a theory of lines or queues, as the Europeans say. Among other things, he even devised a formula that could be used to calculate the expected waiting time on a given line. Accepting lines and waiting as inevitable, traditional manufacturing depends on Erlangs brainchild and its successors in queue theory. And its true that in a traditional approach there is plenty of randomness. There is randomness in long-term sales forecasts. Customer behavior is often random. Parts and supplies arrive in a random fashion. Randomness also creeps into production. The result, as we all know, is frequent fire-fighting, a certain amount of yelling and screaming, and waste of time and energy. But lines arent inevitable. Lean manufacturings pull system approach is essentially a way to eliminate as much randomness as possible. The term "kanban" communicates a customers need exactly. In a well-run system, production will equal demand and reduce randomness. Why try to eliminate randomness? Because, according to lean thinking, it creates waste. Lean manufacturing draws heavily on the Toyota Production System, brainchild in many ways of Toyotas Taiichi Ohno. Ohno was dedicated some might say obsessed with removing waste from the process by any means necessary. One waste that especially outraged him was waiting; machines and workers idled by a delayed part, a slower station, or a change-over. Like his idol Henry Ford, Ohno felt quantity and speed were overrated by manufacturers. For him, the answer was not to go faster and make more but to remove as much randomness from the process as possible. Production leveling, kanban, visual management and other lean techniques were the result. How could anyone resist such things? One reason might be that standing in line is so familiar. Its something we all dislike but also something we take for granted. A store without any lines at all would probably make us feel uneasy or strange. Perhaps the store or its products are no good. If they were good, there would be lines, wouldnt there? So our thinking might run while we tried to cope with this unusual situation. On the plant floor, no lines might make people uneasy also. Maybe their fire-fighting isnt needed anymore? Maybe its a new and scary world out there now? Could it be that lines and the random conditions that create them are so familiar, we hesitate to give them up? If so, its worth remembering that the lean approach was born as a challenge to the familiar. Ohno praises his inspiration Henry Ford for his refusal to take things for granted. "Ford," he says, "thought flexibly about things without ever getting caught in existing concepts." Is randomness (and waste) really inevitable? Or is it time to stand that idea on its head? |
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