Since 1990, Kentuckys growth trends have been very
positive. Population in Kentucky reached four million persons this year - an increase of
over 300,000 since the 1990 census, and a growth rate of 9.1 percent.
During the period 1981-1990 the states population only increased
by 23,000 persons - less than one percent. Per household incomes have increased from
$32,655 in 1990 to $45,755 this year. Many areas and cities in Kentucky that experienced
drops in population during the 1980s are now experiencing growth.
Most economists, including Dr. Charles Haywood, who is interviewed in
this months issue of The Lane Report (pg. 16), attribute population and
income growth to the creation of new jobs. Good jobs keep people from moving to other
states for employment. Kentuckians who now reside in other states are moving back to the
Commonwealth. Based on significant increases in population and household income, one would
have to conclude that during the past decade Kentuckys incentives for companies to
expand or build new businesses in Kentucky and create new jobs have been extremely
successful.
The states efforts to improve Kentuckys educational system
and enhance the quality of the workforce coupled with incentives have been a powerful
force to boost the economy and the quality of life in Kentucky.
Without the efforts of state and local government to recruit new
business, Kentucky could have been faced with low tech industries moving to foreign
countries, a static but aging population, low per capita and per household incomes and an
eroding tax base that would require higher tax rates or a decline in governmental
services. Instead, Kentucky is growing at a healthy rate and its economic vitality is
excellent. Prosperity has created big tax surpluses for state and local governments.
Investing tax dollars in incentives for new businesses has proven to be
a successful strategy to make Kentucky a great place to work, live and raise a family.
According to Dr. Haywood, the payback on the $300 million incentive to Toyota will be so
substantial- $1.5 billion - that it may be adequate to fund most of the incentives granted
to other companies over the past decade.
All incentives may not deliver a superlative return, but the economic
results on a cumulative basis are what is important. Without question, Kentuckys
incentive program has helped insure that the future will be prosperous and full of
opportunity.
Ed G. Lane is chief executive of Lane Consultants, Inc. and
publisher of The Lane Report.