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REAL ESTATE &
DEVELOPMENT -- January '99 by Karen Baird Urban Trends Recent analyses of commercial real estate trends in Kentucky's two largest urban markets indicate that while downtown office vacancy rates continue to run higher than the respective suburban rates, downtown markets in both Lexington and Louisville have displayed a steady decline in vacancies over the past several years. LOUISVILLE Based on figures compiled by Commercial Kentucky, Inc. for the third quarter of 1998 (the most recent available), the overall vacancy rate in Louisville's central business district dropped slightly to the current rate of 16.5 percent. (The city's suburban vacancy rates have increased since the previous quarter by approximately one percentage point to 12.4 percent, an increase primarily attributed to the trend in corporate downsizing as well as some businesses moving out of the Louisville market entirely.) That figure stands to improve even more in the coming months as Louisville-based Vencor, Inc., a long-term healthcare provider, consolidates its Louisville offices by moving to One Commonwealth Place in downtown Louisville, formerly the home of Providian/Aegon. (The company currently employs approximately 800 people at its corporate offices, which are now spread among the Aegon Tower, 444 S. Fifth Street, National City Tower and in the ARM Financial building on Market Street.) The report also notes that the failed merger between Louisville-based Humana, Inc. and United Healthcare bodes well for Louisville since it means that Humana will remain in Louisville rather than moving out of state. In addition, Brown-Foreman has purchased the old St. Charles Hotel and the Bernheim Building in downtown Louisville with plans to renovate the historic structures. The company will relocate approximately 200 employees from its overcrowded headquarters on Dixie Highway. The move is expected to further strengthen Louisville's efforts to improve the West Main Street area, which is now home to The Louisville Slugger Museum, the Louisville Science Center and numerous new businesses and restaurants. Louisville's central business district includes a total of 9,330,288 square feet of space, of which 3,502,342 is considered Class A space. Leasing rates range from $7.00 to $19.50 per square foot, with Class A space falling into the $16.00 - $19.50 category. LEXINGTON A study conducted by LaSalle Partners Management Services, Inc. shows Lexington's central business district vacancy rate for the third quarter of '98 to be 10.78 percent. That figure is nearly a mirror image of the national downtown vacancy rate of 10.8 percent as reported by Cushman & Wakefield, an international real estate services provider. (Lexington's three percent suburban vacancy rate, however, is in sharp contrast to suburban rates in Louisville and the national suburban vacancy rate of 10.9 percent.) As of the third quarter, approximately 237, 421 square feet of the central business district's 2.2 million gross leasable square feet (1.9 million of which is considered Class A space) were vacant. However, the report notes, another 100,000 square feet is projected to become vacant in the coming months based on the following data:
Current rental rates for Lexington are averaging $15.00 - $18.00 per square foot for both the downtown and suburban markets.
Karen Baird is associate editor of The Lane Report.
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