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TECHNOLOGY
- April 2000
by
John F. Clark
The Last Mile
Exploring the use of wireless networking
IT was just over
10 years ago that Nicholas Negroponte of MITs esteemed Media Lab
made the prediction that became known as the Negroponte Switch. The
basic premise of Negropontes prediction went something like this:
Traditionally, mass communications (point-to-multipoint) such as radio
and television have been transmitted over the airwaves while interpersonal
communications (point-to-point) such as telephone transmissions have
been transmitted via wires. The development of new technologies makes
possible a "switch" between the two that creates a more rational
system. In other words, bandwidth-hungry mass communications will be
delivered via wires (or cables) and relatively low bandwidth transmissions
like phone conversations will be delivered via the airwaves.
At the time, Negroponte
had every reason in the world to believe that such would be the case
for the foreseeable future and almost everyone agreed with him
his word became gospel in industry and academe. After all, cable television
throughout the 1980s was becoming the dominant force in the entertainment
industry that it is today. One coaxial cable coming into your house
was capable of delivering 60 or more television channels, as opposed
to the three or four you could receive over the air. Fiber optic cables,
in increasingly widespread use since the early 80s, had been developed
to the point that they seemed to promise almost unlimited bandwidth.
On the flip side, cellular telephone use had grown through the 80s
to the point that it was clear that cell phones (or something like them)
would one day become ubiquitous. By 1989, of course, there was already
extensive use of satellite and microwave relays (using over-the-air
transmissions) in the public phone system.
Negropontes
prediction was based on an important concept that was a fact of life
at the time the scarcity of spectrum space. Simply put, the usable
part of the electromagnetic spectrum was too valuable to devote to a
relatively few very high bandwidth channels like television signals.
Something had to be done about this situation before we could enjoy
genuine broadband access for work and entertainment. With this scenario
looming, techno-pundits began exploring ways to bridge the critical
"last mile" to the residence or business. The best possible
case, bandwidth-wise, was the installation of fiber to the door, but
that would cost multi-billions of dollars to implement and was an unpleasant
and perhaps unworkable prospect. Technologies that made use of existing
twisted pair phone wires were developed, but they were, and are, simply
transitions to more satisfactory bandwidth.
Negroponte had
the distinction of being known as a savant for at least three or four
years before technology put the Negroponte Switch out to pasture as
an idea for the future. By the mid-90s, it was becoming increasingly
clear that the genuine broadband revolution, in terms of the "last
mile," would be one powered not by wired technologies, but by wireless
technologies. However, there would be many obstacles to overcome, not
the least of which was developing a whole new system of "broadcasting"
in a much higher portion of the spectrum. But making use of higher and
higher frequency ranges has been the history of the evolution of our
use of the spectrum, and the 1990s have seen some of the most dramatic
developments to date, making possible a wide new range of services for
home and business in the very near future.
The next few columns
will explore the use of wireless networking in a variety of contexts
from your corporate local area and backbone networks to neighborhood
television and Internet access and beyond, to global wireless service
provided by fleets of low-orbit satellites. Stay tuned.
John F. Clark
is a visiting assistant professor of the University of Kentucky School
of Journalism and Telecommunications.
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